Seeing this posted everywhere, but isn't this obviously a bad use of data? Like, you have a bunch of questions asking a highly polarized public whether things are good currently on a variety of indicators. Surely the divorce from reality runs in the opposite direction once the administration flips, at least to some extent, no?
Or, likewise, suppose these were questions like "Inflation was been much worse under the current administration than the last," I bet most of the Republicans would get it right, whether or not they had familiarity with the data.
This data presentation conflates two issues -- (1) was the most recent election won based on misinformation, and (2) are Republicans more detached from reality than Democrats.
(1) It would be useful to have percentages of the electorate that got each question correct/incorrect, and not have to infer from outcome.
(2) You are right, this is a one-sided view that does not answer the question. But the answer is yes, extremely. Here is one look at that: briefingbook.info/p/asymmetric…
I'm reminded of this article from 538 a couple years ago. 2020 there is a partisan flip, however in 2016, only one party had an immediate flip when the administration changed. I think 2020 is difficult to assess given there was a pandemic and once things calmed down with that, people were feeling much more optimistic, but it could still very well be that these questions are becoming reactionary for both parties as you suggest. fivethirtyeight.com/features/r…
I mean, no? It's not like democrats are now going to be the ones to be more likely to believe that global warming or school shootings are a hoax. You don't suddenly become the ignorant idiot party when you're out of power.
Zach Weinersmith
Als Antwort auf Zach Weinersmith • • •Rusty Earthfire
Als Antwort auf Zach Weinersmith • • •This data presentation conflates two issues -- (1) was the most recent election won based on misinformation, and (2) are Republicans more detached from reality than Democrats.
(1) It would be useful to have percentages of the electorate that got each question correct/incorrect, and not have to infer from outcome.
(2) You are right, this is a one-sided view that does not answer the question. But the answer is yes, extremely. Here is one look at that: briefingbook.info/p/asymmetric…
Asymmetric amplification and the consumer sentiment gap
Ryan Cummings (Briefing Book)Tim_Eagon
Als Antwort auf Zach Weinersmith • • •Mans R
Als Antwort auf Zach Weinersmith • • •Ty Jones
Als Antwort auf Zach Weinersmith • • •Republicans’ Pessimistic Views On The Economy Have Little To Do With The Economy
Michael Tesler (FiveThirtyEight)Ben Brockert
Als Antwort auf Zach Weinersmith • • •NoNotMeNotMeNo
Als Antwort auf Zach Weinersmith • • •Marc Etienne
Als Antwort auf Zach Weinersmith • • •when nigh all social media is owned by sociopaths, people will remain not only ignorant but misinformed.
It's Italy under Mussolini, Spain under Franco, Germany under Hitler all over again.
v
Als Antwort auf Zach Weinersmith • • •